Duque de Caxias vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 1
DUQ
58%
23%
18%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
DUQ
5 - 1
ATL
28%
25%
46%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
CEA
1 - 0
DUQ
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
DUQ
2 - 1
SAO
30%
27%
42%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 1
DUQ
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2009 |
POR
2 - 1
ABC
70%
20%
10%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
ABC
1 - 1
PAR
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 0
ABC
53%
25%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
ABC
2 - 3
VAS
16%
23%
61%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
SAO
3 - 0
ABC
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |