Dungannon Swifts vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
57.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
DUN
0 - 0
ARD
54%
22%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
COL
1 - 0
DUN
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
LIN
1 - 0
DUN
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
DUN
4 - 0
CAR
66%
19%
15%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
DUN
0 - 4
CRU
23%
23%
54%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
GLE
3 - 4
CRU
48%
24%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
ARD
0 - 2
GLE
18%
21%
61%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
GLE
0 - 1
LIN
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
BAL
0 - 3
GLE
8%
17%
75%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
GLE
1 - 3
GLE
20%
25%
55%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |