Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Raith Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
DUN
6 - 1
QOS
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
CWB
0 - 1
DUN
26%
26%
48%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
ROS
0 - 1
DUN
41%
27%
33%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
DUN
0 - 0
PAR
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2011 |
DUN
1 - 1
DUN
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
STI
1 - 2
RAI
30%
27%
44%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
RAI
2 - 2
CWB
65%
21%
13%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
RAI
2 - 1
DUN
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
FAL
2 - 1
RAI
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2011 |
RAI
1 - 1
ROS
55%
26%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |