Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
33.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
ABE
1 - 0
DUN
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2003 |
GLA
3 - 0
DUN
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
DUN
3 - 0
MHE
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
DUN
1 - 1
GLA
34%
26%
41%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
KIL
1 - 1
DUN
43%
26%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
HOM
2 - 1
CEL
41%
25%
34%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
PAR
1 - 1
HOM
29%
27%
44%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
HOM
2 - 1
DUN
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
LIV
1 - 1
HOM
35%
27%
39%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
HOM
2 - 1
MHE
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |