Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
KIL
2 - 2
DUN
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1996 |
DUN
3 - 1
STM
77%
14%
9%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
HIB
0 - 0
DUN
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
DUN
2 - 5
GLA
25%
25%
50%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1996 |
STR
1 - 2
DUN
32%
26%
43%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
HOM
1 - 0
DUN
63%
22%
16%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1996 |
STJ
1 - 3
HOM
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
ABE
4 - 0
HOM
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
HOM
3 - 2
KIL
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 1996 |
HOM
1 - 1
STE
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |