Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
37.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1961 |
DUN
2 - 0
MHE
68%
16%
17%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1961 |
DUN
3 - 0
DUN
72%
14%
14%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1961 |
ABE
0 - 0
DUN
72%
15%
13%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1961 |
DUN
3 - 2
DUN
55%
21%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 1961 |
MHE
1 - 1
DUN
75%
14%
11%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1961 |
HOM
3 - 1
STM
80%
12%
9%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1961 |
HOM
2 - 0
KIL
57%
20%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1961 |
RAI
3 - 1
HOM
38%
22%
40%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1961 |
HOM
2 - 2
STM
69%
17%
15%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1961 |
STM
1 - 0
HOM
42%
22%
36%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |