Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Greenock Morton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
DUN
0 - 0
DUN
45%
25%
31%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
DUM
0 - 1
DUN
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2018 |
DUN
2 - 0
FAL
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
DUN
2 - 1
BRE
78%
14%
8%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
STM
1 - 0
DUN
55%
24%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
GRE
0 - 1
FAL
41%
27%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
BRE
1 - 1
GRE
21%
25%
53%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 1
STM
24%
25%
51%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 0
ICT
27%
27%
47%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
GRE
0 - 2
DUN
28%
27%
45%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |