Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
17.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
DUN
5 - 1
ICT
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
GLA
6 - 0
DUN
74%
16%
9%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
LIV
1 - 1
DUN
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
HOM
2 - 2
DUN
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
DUN
5 - 1
PET
71%
17%
11%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
AIR
1 - 1
ARB
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
ARB
2 - 0
QUE
54%
24%
21%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
ARB
0 - 0
ROS
14%
20%
66%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
HIB
6 - 1
ARB
75%
17%
9%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
ARB
4 - 0
MON
61%
22%
18%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |