Dunbar United vs Vale of Leithen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
13.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunbar United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
DUN
4 - 3
NEW
33%
21%
46%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 3
HOM
4%
11%
85%
|
30 | 75 | 45 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 2
DUN
69%
17%
15%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 3
STI
23%
20%
58%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
DUN
3 - 2
CLA
43%
22%
35%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Vale of Leithen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
OAK
2 - 0
VAL
77%
13%
9%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 0
BLU
6%
12%
82%
|
7 | 29 | 22 | +6 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 7
LIN
6%
12%
81%
|
7 | 47 | 40 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
VAL
0 - 2
DUN
14%
16%
70%
|
7 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
VAL
0 - 5
AFC
9%
15%
76%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | 0 |