Dumbarton vs Third Lanark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
17.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1894 |
DUM
3 - 1
LEI
71%
17%
13%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1894 |
DUM
2 - 0
GLA
36%
23%
41%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1893 |
DUM
4 - 5
CEL
36%
23%
41%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1893 |
DUN
4 - 0
DUM
32%
24%
44%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1893 |
DUM
2 - 0
REN
71%
16%
13%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Third Lanark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1894 |
DUN
1 - 1
TLA
35%
22%
43%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1894 |
REN
0 - 3
TLA
27%
23%
50%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1894 |
TLA
3 - 1
STM
61%
19%
20%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1893 |
TLA
1 - 3
CEL
33%
23%
45%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1893 |
GLA
0 - 3
TLA
68%
17%
14%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |