Dumbarton vs St. Johnstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.1%
35.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1947 |
DUM
4 - 2
ARB
65%
18%
18%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1947 |
STE
2 - 1
DUM
51%
21%
27%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1947 |
STJ
1 - 0
DUM
78%
13%
10%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1947 |
ARB
1 - 3
DUM
64%
18%
18%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 1947 |
DUM
5 - 5
STE
75%
14%
11%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1947 |
STJ
0 - 1
STE
81%
11%
8%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1947 |
ARB
1 - 2
STJ
39%
22%
39%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1947 |
STJ
1 - 0
DUM
78%
13%
10%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 1947 |
STE
3 - 2
STJ
29%
22%
49%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 1947 |
STJ
5 - 1
ARB
75%
14%
11%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |