Dumbarton vs Greenock Morton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
46%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
AYR
2 - 1
DUM
46%
24%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
HIB
2 - 2
DUM
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
DUM
4 - 0
RAI
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
DUN
5 - 1
DUM
66%
20%
15%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
FAL
2 - 2
DUM
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
HIB
0 - 0
GRE
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
GRE
0 - 1
DUN
47%
27%
27%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
FAL
0 - 1
GRE
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 0
QOS
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
DUN
1 - 1
GRE
61%
22%
18%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |