Dumbarton vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
28.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1946 |
DUM
0 - 4
CWB
62%
18%
20%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1946 |
DUM
0 - 3
DUN
71%
15%
14%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1946 |
ARB
4 - 1
DUM
65%
18%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1922 |
FAL
0 - 0
DUM
71%
18%
12%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1922 |
CLY
0 - 1
DUM
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1946 |
ARB
1 - 3
DUN
70%
16%
14%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1946 |
CWB
5 - 2
ARB
43%
23%
34%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 1946 |
ARB
4 - 1
DUM
65%
18%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1939 |
ARB
4 - 0
PAR
46%
23%
31%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1939 |
ARB
3 - 0
AYR
41%
22%
37%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |