Dumbarton vs Abercorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1891 |
CAM
0 - 2
DUM
60%
21%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1891 |
STM
2 - 4
DUM
37%
24%
38%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1891 |
GLA
4 - 2
DUM
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1891 |
HOM
0 - 4
DUM
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1891 |
CEL
1 - 0
DUM
60%
22%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Abercorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1891 |
CEL
2 - 0
ABE
64%
20%
17%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1891 |
TLA
2 - 1
ABE
58%
22%
21%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1891 |
ABE
1 - 0
HOM
39%
24%
36%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1891 |
CAM
4 - 5
ABE
64%
20%
17%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1891 |
HOM
1 - 1
ABE
61%
21%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |