Dumbarton vs Abercorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
37%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1890 |
VOL
1 - 3
DUM
58%
22%
19%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1890 |
DUM
5 - 1
GLA
25%
24%
51%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1890 |
DUM
3 - 1
HOM
28%
25%
47%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1890 |
TLA
1 - 3
DUM
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 1890 |
DUM
1 - 1
COW
29%
25%
46%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Abercorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1890 |
ABE
2 - 4
TLA
37%
25%
39%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1890 |
STM
4 - 2
ABE
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1890 |
VOL
2 - 1
ABE
36%
24%
40%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |