Dro Calcio vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dro Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SCA
1 - 0
DCA
46%
24%
30%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
DCA
1 - 0
OLG
36%
25%
39%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
DCA
1 - 1
FAN
45%
23%
32%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
LEV
1 - 1
DCA
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
DCA
1 - 2
PON
29%
25%
46%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 0
CIS
45%
24%
32%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
PSM
1 - 2
CAR
73%
16%
12%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 3
VBE
24%
22%
54%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
PRO
2 - 0
CAR
63%
22%
16%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 0
SCA
54%
23%
23%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |