Dover Athletic vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
14.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dover Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
DOV
3 - 1
CHE
64%
20%
16%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
LIN
2 - 0
DOV
57%
23%
21%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2017 |
MAC
2 - 1
DOV
37%
27%
37%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
DOV
2 - 2
YOR
80%
14%
7%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2017 |
MAI
1 - 4
DOV
19%
22%
58%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
WRE
3 - 1
GUI
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
WRE
2 - 1
BOR
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CHE
1 - 1
WRE
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
WRE
1 - 0
NOR
58%
22%
19%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
WRE
2 - 1
WOK
44%
24%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |