Dnepr Smolensk vs Arsenal Tula analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
53.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dnepr Smolensk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2005 |
DNE
3 - 0
NAR
34%
25%
41%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2005 |
SPA
1 - 0
DNE
61%
22%
18%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2005 |
DVO
4 - 2
DNE
68%
19%
14%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2005 |
DNE
0 - 0
SZP
27%
25%
49%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2005 |
DNE
2 - 3
PSK
43%
25%
32%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal Tula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2005 |
SAC
1 - 0
ARS
19%
27%
54%
|
56 | 29 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2005 |
PRE
1 - 1
ARS
18%
25%
58%
|
56 | 31 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2005 |
BAL
1 - 0
ARS
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2005 |
ARS
0 - 1
DVO
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2005 |
ARS
1 - 1
SPA
62%
24%
15%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |