UCL Qualifying Third Stage Final
Global 1-5
Dinamo Zagreb vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
ZAD
2 - 3
DZG
18%
22%
60%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
DZG
6 - 0
HNK
78%
14%
7%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
SHA
2 - 0
DZG
48%
24%
28%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
NKC
0 - 1
DZG
21%
22%
56%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2008 |
DZG
3 - 2
DOM
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
VOR
1 - 0
SHA
19%
25%
56%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
SHA
2 - 2
MET
62%
21%
16%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
SHA
2 - 0
DZG
48%
24%
28%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2008 |
DNI
0 - 0
SHA
32%
27%
41%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
SHA
3 - 0
ILL
76%
15%
9%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |