Devonshire Colts vs St. George.s Colts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
33.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Devonshire Colts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
DEV
0 - 2
STD
45%
23%
32%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
DEV
0 - 3
SOU
47%
24%
30%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
DEV
1 - 3
HOR
43%
23%
33%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
DEV
0 - 2
SOM
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
DEV
0 - 3
PHC
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
St. George.s Colts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
STG
1 - 4
HOR
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
BOU
2 - 1
STG
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 1
STG
58%
21%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
STG
4 - 0
STD
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
STG
1 - 1
DEV
43%
23%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |