Deva Boys vs Santos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
75.3%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deva Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
DEV
1 - 5
FLO
24%
21%
55%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
BFC
4 - 0
DEV
82%
12%
7%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2018 |
DEV
1 - 2
HAP
14%
18%
68%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
ACO
5 - 0
DEV
77%
13%
10%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
TAH
4 - 1
DEV
28%
21%
51%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Santos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
SFC
1 - 3
KAM
86%
10%
5%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
SFC
0 - 0
FLO
70%
16%
14%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
AUR
0 - 1
SFC
21%
19%
60%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
SLE
1 - 5
SFC
42%
21%
37%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
TAH
0 - 3
SFC
18%
18%
64%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |