Deusto vs SCD Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
18.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deusto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
SNT
2 - 0
DEU
66%
18%
16%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
DEU
1 - 1
CDG
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
BAR
3 - 2
DEU
82%
11%
6%
|
25 | 56 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
DEU
2 - 1
ARE
51%
24%
25%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
DEU
0 - 2
CUL
83%
11%
6%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
CDU
2 - 1
LAR
57%
22%
22%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
RAY
7 - 1
CDU
89%
7%
3%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
CDU
1 - 2
GIM
57%
21%
21%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
GAL
1 - 0
CDU
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
CDU
1 - 2
SSC
25%
26%
50%
|
25 | 52 | 27 | 0 |