Des Moines Menace vs St. Louis SG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Des Moines Menace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
DES
4 - 0
CFC
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
CFC
2 - 0
DES
33%
26%
40%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2021 |
WIC
1 - 3
DES
9%
18%
74%
|
54 | 25 | 29 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
DES
1 - 0
WIC
87%
10%
3%
|
54 | 27 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
DES
6 - 0
WIC
86%
11%
3%
|
54 | 27 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
St. Louis SG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
KCF
2 - 3
SLO
36%
24%
40%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
KCF
2 - 6
SLO
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2021 |
CFC
3 - 1
SLO
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
SLO
4 - 1
GBV
63%
19%
19%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
SLO
2 - 1
KCF
50%
22%
28%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |