Torneo de Invierno Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Deportivo Saprissa vs San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
10.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Saprissa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
SAN
0 - 3
SAP
27%
28%
45%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
SAP
3 - 0
CSC
55%
24%
22%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
BFC
2 - 0
SAP
37%
29%
35%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
SAP
1 - 1
SAN
71%
19%
10%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
ADC
2 - 2
SAP
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
SAN
0 - 3
SAP
27%
28%
45%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
SAN
0 - 4
LDA
28%
26%
45%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
CSH
1 - 0
SAN
61%
24%
15%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
PFC
1 - 0
SAN
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
SAN
0 - 1
MUN
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |