Liga CONCACAF Final Stages Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Deportivo Saprissa vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Saprissa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SAP
2 - 2
SAN
65%
20%
16%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
PER
0 - 1
SAP
30%
26%
44%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
SAP
4 - 0
LAU
77%
16%
8%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2019 |
SAP
3 - 1
SAN
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 6
SAP
27%
25%
48%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
IND
2 - 1
SMI
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2019 |
COS
1 - 1
IND
32%
28%
40%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
IND
2 - 1
CHO
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2019 |
TAU
0 - 1
IND
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2019 |
IND
2 - 1
RHO
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |