Deportivo Montecaseros vs Jorge Newbery VM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
25.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Montecaseros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
SAR
2 - 1
MON
23%
23%
55%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
MON
0 - 0
TIR
73%
16%
11%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ALP
1 - 0
MON
19%
21%
59%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
NEW
1 - 1
MON
33%
24%
44%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
MON
0 - 2
PAC
74%
16%
11%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Jorge Newbery VM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
NEW
3 - 0
RAC
47%
24%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
EST
2 - 0
NEW
58%
21%
21%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
NEW
2 - 0
SAR
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
NEW
1 - 1
MON
33%
24%
44%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
PAC
0 - 1
NEW
36%
24%
40%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |