Deportivo Merlo vs Sportivo Desamparados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
17.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 0
MER
37%
29%
34%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
MER
3 - 1
PAT
43%
30%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 0
MER
61%
25%
14%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
MER
2 - 1
SAR
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
MER
0 - 2
ATT
36%
30%
34%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sportivo Desamparados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
DES
0 - 3
QUI
20%
28%
52%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
IRV
1 - 0
DES
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
DES
1 - 1
ALM
31%
31%
38%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
BUC
2 - 1
DES
63%
23%
15%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
DES
1 - 1
GBR
33%
27%
40%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |