Deportivo Lara vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
DEP
0 - 0
LAR
26%
27%
48%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
LAR
0 - 0
ARA
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ZUL
4 - 1
LAR
31%
27%
43%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
LAR
1 - 1
CFC
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 2
LAR
31%
27%
42%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
EST
3 - 1
TUC
63%
23%
15%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 3
EST
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2013 |
EST
1 - 1
ZAM
27%
29%
45%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
EST
3 - 3
ATL
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2013 |
ANZ
1 - 1
EST
68%
20%
13%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |