Deportivo Lara vs Carabobo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
LLA
0 - 0
LAR
28%
25%
48%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 3
LAR
35%
25%
40%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
LAR
1 - 1
TUC
65%
21%
15%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
TRU
1 - 4
LAR
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
MIR
0 - 0
LAR
27%
26%
48%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 0
TUC
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 1
TRU
37%
28%
36%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
MIN
1 - 0
CAR
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
DEP
0 - 2
CAR
33%
27%
41%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 0
ARA
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |