Deportivo Lara vs Carabobo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
21%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
LAR
1 - 1
ATL
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CFC
1 - 0
LAR
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
ZAM
3 - 1
LAR
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
LAR
2 - 2
MIN
57%
24%
20%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ANZ
2 - 1
LAR
56%
23%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 0
MON
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 5
CAR
31%
24%
45%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 2
CFC
27%
26%
48%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
ZAM
2 - 2
CAR
61%
21%
17%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
TRU
1 - 0
CAR
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |