Deportivo Lara II vs UA Aragua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
18.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 0
DEP
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 2
POR
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SCG
1 - 1
DEP
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
EST
2 - 2
DEP
14%
20%
66%
|
48 | 20 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
DEP
0 - 1
ATL
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
UA Aragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ARA
1 - 2
SCG
30%
25%
45%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ARR
1 - 0
ARA
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 0
CAR
31%
25%
44%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 2
POR
28%
24%
48%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
EST
0 - 1
ARA
16%
19%
65%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |