Laferrere vs Luján analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
32.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Laferrere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
DOC
1 - 0
LAF
29%
27%
44%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
LAF
0 - 0
COL
42%
29%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2007 |
LAF
0 - 1
DAL
47%
27%
26%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
BAR
1 - 0
LAF
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
LAF
3 - 1
ARM
52%
27%
21%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2007 |
LUJ
2 - 2
SMA
69%
20%
12%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
LUJ
1 - 2
VSC
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
CAÑ
3 - 1
LUJ
26%
26%
49%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2007 |
LAM
3 - 4
LUJ
36%
28%
36%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
FEN
0 - 1
LUJ
46%
27%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |