Venezuela League U20 Semi-finals
Global 5-4
La Guaira U20 vs Zamora U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Guaira U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
DGU
1 - 0
POR
62%
21%
18%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
POR
3 - 2
DGU
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
DAN
0 - 3
DGU
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
DGU
1 - 0
MET
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
DPE
0 - 0
DGU
44%
26%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Zamora U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 1
ZAM
34%
26%
41%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ZAM
1 - 0
CAR
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
ZUL
0 - 0
ZAM
49%
25%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
TRU
0 - 1
ZAM
37%
25%
38%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
ZAM
3 - 0
EST
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |