Deportivo Jocotán vs Aurora FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
30.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Jocotán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
QUI
3 - 1
DEP
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
DEP
0 - 1
SAC
52%
24%
25%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
SAC
1 - 0
DEP
34%
26%
41%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 0
IZT
61%
22%
18%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
IZT
0 - 2
DEP
40%
24%
36%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
AUR
2 - 0
CDB
46%
26%
27%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
AUR
0 - 0
CON
27%
27%
46%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
CON
1 - 0
AUR
51%
26%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
AUR
3 - 1
SPD
53%
25%
21%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
AUR
38%
26%
37%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |