Dep. Capiatá vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Capiatá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 1
DEP
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
DEP
0 - 0
AME
65%
21%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
DEP
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
RÑU
3 - 2
DEP
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 1
CCP
35%
26%
40%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
LIB
3 - 1
RÑU
59%
24%
18%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
LQE
0 - 0
LIB
32%
27%
41%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
LIB
2 - 0
GUA
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
AME
0 - 1
LIB
31%
27%
43%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2013 |
LIB
4 - 2
RÑU
59%
24%
17%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |