Deportivo Aguilares vs Concepción FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
47.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Aguilares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
AMA
2 - 1
AGU
50%
22%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 0
VIL
38%
24%
37%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
AGU
0 - 0
POL
21%
24%
56%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
TFR
4 - 2
AGU
16%
21%
64%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | -5 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 0
AGU
22%
23%
55%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Concepción FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CON
2 - 0
POL
35%
26%
40%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
TFR
0 - 1
CON
16%
20%
64%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CON
2 - 0
BVT
82%
12%
6%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 0
CON
72%
18%
10%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | -3 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 2
CON
24%
23%
53%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |