Deportivo Aguilares vs Atlético Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Aguilares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
AGU
1 - 0
AMA
31%
23%
46%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
ABL
3 - 1
AGU
52%
22%
26%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
AGU
1 - 1
POL
30%
23%
46%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
VIL
4 - 2
AGU
56%
21%
23%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
AGU
0 - 0
LAS
63%
20%
17%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
PRO
1 - 0
LAS
53%
23%
24%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 2
PRO
84%
12%
5%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
AMA
0 - 0
PRO
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
PRO
0 - 0
FAM
19%
21%
61%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
ABL
0 - 0
PRO
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |