Deportivo Aguilares vs Atlético Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
64.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Aguilares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CON
3 - 1
AGU
73%
17%
11%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 2
AMA
43%
24%
34%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 0
AGU
57%
21%
22%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
POL
0 - 0
AGU
70%
18%
13%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
AGU
5 - 0
TFR
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 0
POL
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
TFR
1 - 2
ATL
11%
17%
71%
|
48 | 19 | 29 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 1
BVT
81%
13%
5%
|
49 | 20 | 29 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 4
VIL
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CON
1 - 0
ATL
21%
24%
56%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | -2 |