Deportes Tolima vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
11.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
UCO
2 - 0
TOL
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 3
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
TOL
4 - 1
AGU
54%
24%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
EQU
1 - 0
TOL
33%
27%
40%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 1
HUI
61%
23%
16%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 2
MIL
31%
26%
43%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
CHI
3 - 0
CAR
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 1
AGU
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2012 |
CAL
2 - 0
CAR
68%
20%
11%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
JUN
1 - 0
CAR
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |