Deportes Tolima vs Pachuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
TOL
1 - 0
MIL
61%
23%
17%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2006 |
MIN
2 - 2
TOL
33%
26%
41%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
PER
1 - 2
TOL
32%
26%
42%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
TOL
3 - 2
HUI
65%
21%
13%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2006 |
TOL
0 - 0
MIN
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
SNL
0 - 3
PAC
38%
25%
37%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
TOL
1 - 0
PAC
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
PAC
2 - 0
MOR
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2006 |
AME
3 - 1
PAC
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
PAC
5 - 2
EST
56%
25%
20%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |