Deportes Tolima vs Carabobo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 0
TOL
16%
24%
61%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
TOL
2 - 1
HUI
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2015 |
JUN
2 - 1
TOL
46%
26%
29%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 1
TOL
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
TOL
2 - 0
PAT
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 1
APC
30%
25%
45%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 0
TOL
16%
24%
61%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
CAR
4 - 0
ANZ
24%
28%
48%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
APC
3 - 1
CAR
51%
22%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
MET
1 - 1
CAR
26%
27%
47%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |