Deportes Tolima vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
16%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1983 |
TOL
0 - 2
AME
67%
17%
16%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1983 |
ALI
0 - 1
TOL
50%
22%
28%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1983 |
UNI
2 - 2
TOL
65%
18%
16%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1983 |
AME
1 - 1
TOL
46%
23%
31%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1982 |
OLI
2 - 0
TOL
70%
17%
13%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1983 |
ALI
2 - 1
UNI
39%
23%
38%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1983 |
ALI
1 - 2
AME
56%
20%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1983 |
ALI
0 - 1
TOL
50%
22%
28%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1983 |
UNI
0 - 0
ALI
74%
15%
12%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1981 |
ALI
1 - 2
BOC
19%
25%
56%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |