Democrata GV vs URT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
DEM
0 - 1
TUP
30%
27%
44%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
ATM
2 - 1
DEM
86%
11%
3%
|
49 | 87 | 38 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
BOA
2 - 0
DEM
65%
21%
15%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
DEM
1 - 2
CRZ
10%
20%
71%
|
49 | 88 | 39 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
DEM
3 - 2
SOC
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
URT
0 - 0
VIL
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
URT
0 - 1
MAM
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
AMF
2 - 1
URT
79%
15%
6%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
URT
2 - 1
BOA
21%
25%
54%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
URT
3 - 1
MIN
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |