Democrata GV vs Tupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
DEM
1 - 4
IFC
25%
24%
50%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
UBE
2 - 3
DEM
54%
24%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
DEM
2 - 1
AME
60%
21%
19%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
BOA
1 - 2
DEM
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
DEM
1 - 0
VIL
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
TUP
3 - 0
BOA
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 0
TUP
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
AMF
0 - 1
TUP
65%
21%
15%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
TUP
5 - 1
CAL
52%
24%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
ATM
3 - 2
TUP
86%
11%
3%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | 0 |