Delta Porto Tolle vs Virtus Castelfranco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Delta Porto Tolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
COR
2 - 3
DEL
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 1
DEL
43%
26%
31%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
DEL
3 - 2
FOR
41%
26%
33%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
DEL
0 - 1
CUN
41%
26%
33%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
CUN
1 - 2
DEL
44%
27%
29%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 0
SAN
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ACM
3 - 5
VIR
28%
25%
47%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
VIR
2 - 3
FOR
70%
17%
14%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
ROM
4 - 1
VIR
52%
22%
25%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 4
COR
26%
23%
51%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -2 |