Def. Unidos vs Luján analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
29%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
25.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
ARM
2 - 0
CAD
38%
26%
35%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CAD
2 - 2
SMA
30%
27%
43%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
EXC
4 - 3
CAD
47%
25%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 0
CAD
66%
21%
12%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CAD
2 - 1
BER
36%
28%
36%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +3 |
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
LUJ
1 - 1
BER
41%
28%
32%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
JJU
2 - 0
LUJ
53%
27%
20%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
LUJ
0 - 2
CAÑ
42%
27%
32%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
LIN
0 - 1
LUJ
45%
28%
27%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
LUJ
1 - 1
MID
58%
24%
18%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |