Defensores de Boca vs Independiente Villa Obrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
30.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores de Boca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CAP
3 - 3
DEF
43%
23%
34%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
DEF
3 - 1
MAR
61%
20%
19%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
TRI
1 - 0
DEF
58%
22%
21%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 1
SPE
27%
23%
50%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
DEF
0 - 0
JUV
27%
24%
49%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Villa Obrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
IND
0 - 1
ACJ
47%
23%
30%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
JUV
2 - 0
IND
68%
19%
13%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAP
0 - 0
IND
34%
24%
43%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
IND
1 - 2
MAR
69%
18%
13%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
TRI
1 - 2
IND
54%
23%
23%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |