Def. Fraile Pintado vs Independiente HP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
60.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Fraile Pintado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
SFB
3 - 1
FRA
80%
13%
8%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
FRA
1 - 1
TAB
22%
23%
55%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
1 - 0
FRA
89%
8%
3%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
FRA
0 - 2
CAH
14%
18%
67%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
MIT
0 - 0
FRA
78%
15%
7%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente HP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
TAB
0 - 0
IHP
42%
24%
35%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
CAH
0 - 0
IHP
60%
20%
21%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
IHP
1 - 3
CAM
39%
25%
36%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
TIR
1 - 1
IHP
32%
24%
44%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
IHP
2 - 1
SFB
46%
23%
31%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |