Def. Fraile Pintado vs Mitre de Salta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
68.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Fraile Pintado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
TIR
1 - 1
FRA
50%
22%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 2
IHP
25%
23%
53%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
CAM
0 - 1
FRA
82%
12%
6%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 1
TAB
14%
20%
67%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
TAL
1 - 0
FRA
83%
12%
5%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Mitre de Salta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
MIT
1 - 1
IHP
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 1
MIT
31%
24%
44%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
MIT
1 - 1
TAB
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2016 |
TAL
0 - 2
MIT
29%
24%
48%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
MIT
1 - 0
RGR
82%
12%
5%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | -1 |