Def. de Pronunciamiento vs Ex Alumnos 185 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
13.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. de Pronunciamiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
SFE
1 - 1
DPR
38%
24%
39%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
DPR
3 - 1
HUR
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ACH
2 - 0
DPR
28%
25%
47%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -3 |
Matches
Ex Alumnos 185
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ALU
0 - 0
JGB
67%
18%
15%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ALU
1 - 0
SFE
34%
24%
42%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
HUR
0 - 0
ALU
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -3 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ALU
0 - 1
IND
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
SMA
2 - 3
ALU
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | +2 |